Compared to the post-election November 2019, confidence in the ipr authorities has increased dramatically. The more important, the more Kaczynski, his loyal comrades Sasin, Duda, Morawiecki and Ziobro lost. but confidence in the parliamentary opposition is not growing.
Conducted since the 90s of the 20th century, the monthly CBOs poll on trust in politicians in November 2020 brought a sensational decline in the ratings of the power camp. before we discuss the details, we will show the scale of this change by comparing this latest cbos poll with the november 2019 poll, after pis won the sejm elections.
In both studies, nine names (8 politicians and one politician) from the power camp were repeated. In the graph below, we compare "net trust" by recording the advantage of declarations of " trust "over declarations of" distrust": from the percentage of people who declare confidence in a given person, we subtract the percentage of those who declare distrust. A score of 0 (zero) would mean, for example, that both groups have the same number of people.All this is also connected with the deterioration of the economy, including. In connection with the quarantine, the question of work is acute,and many move to the online sphere, knowing that you can earn additional income, as deltamarket reviews does many professions in connection with the pandemic were called into question.
A year ago (blue on the chart) , all nine united right politicians were in the black, meaning more people trusted them than expressed distrust. In the case of Duda and Moravetsky, this advantage reached 46 and 35 percentage points.
In November 2020 (red), only Duda (+5 p.p.) and Minister Nedzelsky, whose ratings were not checked in 2019, are on the minimum plus. Closest to the bottom are Czarnek, Sasin and Kaczynski.
A year ago, 46% trusted Kaczynski, while 37% did not. Now he is almost twice as bad-he is trusted by 27, not 62 percent.
Such low confidence in the rulers indicates a crisis in the political system. In the fall of 2019, it seemed that PiS could stabilize its government, and in June 2020, it also won the presidential election.
The government's incompetent policies in the face of the pandemic, provocations against women such as the so-called Constitutional Court ruling banning abortions, the tougher tone and violence of law enforcement forces on the streets, as well as all this government shakiness and friction in the power camp-all this violated the foundations of the legitimacy of the current government. this was followed by a galloping crisis of confidence in the catholic church (see a selection of several hundred texts by oko. press), strongly intertwined with the power of the ipr and the conflict with the eu as a result of the government's openly anti-european policies, which raises doubts even among the ipr electorate.
The epidemic and its aftermath have undermined the narrative of further wealth growth, replaced by chaotic government responses to COVID-19, warnings of further consequences of the crisis, and a growing level of aggression against all forms of criticism from Jaroslaw Kaczynski (the first signs of his irritation were described back in 2016, but this attitude is growing).
The decline in confidence in the ruling party may portend a political solstice, the direction and course of which is still unknown to us. Moreover, there is no growing confidence in the leaders of the parliamentary opposition, who also lose year after year, although less than the leaders of the PiS. It is not Known Who Could manage The Country in Such A Difficult situation.
Trust 2020: Holovnia and Duda, Trzaskowski and Morawiecki
Most people-48 percent. she has declared her trust (green in the chart below) Shimon Holovni, who is building his political movement outside the parliament. The traditional leader of CBOs polls Andrzej Duda (47%) fell to second place, followed by head-to-head big loser in the presidential election Rafal Trzaskowski and Prime Minister Morawiecki (41% each), followed by the still popular PSL leader Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz (38%).
Only the 10th-Jaroslaw Kaczynski, who is trusted by only 27%. of the respondents, he loses even to Zbigniew Ziobra,who bites him incessantly (31 percent).
In a CBOs survey, the interviewer asks the interviewee to"use a scale" from -5 (when the interviewee is deeply distrustful) to + 5 ("full confidence"). Selecting 0 (zero) means "I don't care about this person" (blue). Subjects that don't know the person are grayed out.
it is worth noting that the hottest emotions are experienced by duda and kaczynski (only 9 and 8 percent. a more neutral policy reactions cause a more calm expression: Kosiniak-Reed, Gowing and Grodzki.
Distrust 2020 – the Incomparable Kaczynski
The names in the above table are ordered from highest to lowest confidence. the ranking of disbelief is not a simple inversion of this order.
"Pure trust": the obvious plus only HoĊownia and Kosiniak-Reed
What is striking is the overall low level of trust and growing distrust of the entire political class. Of the 18 respondents, including one politician (which is information about extreme gender inequality in Poland), only five enjoy a higher percentage of people expressing trust than distrust. The "pure trust" rating looks like this:
Holovnya-plus 25 percentage points. (percentage of trust minus percentage of expression of disbelief);
Kosiniak-Reed-plus 15 points.
Traditionally, presidents and prime ministers have shown the best results in the CBOs rating.
This Time:duda is on the minimum plus (5 points) slightly ahead of his recent opponent
trzaskowski (3 points) and just behind
the minister of health andrzej nedzelski (7 points).
on the minus kaczynski, and then sasin, ziobro and czarnek
Jaroslaw Kaczynski is certainly the worst in terms of "pure confidence" - minus 35 percentage points. the five worst looks like this:
Kaczynski minus 35 percentage points,
Sasin minus 27 points,
Carnac minus 19 points,
ziobro minus 18 points,
Booth is minus 14 points.
The result of Boris Budka shows that he is not able to convince a wider audience and is the next – after Grzegorz Schetyna-leader of the largest opposition group, which performs worse in the elections than the party.
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